We exited the second
quarter of 2005 with an empty feeling. Yes, the domestic economy is strong, and
yes, stock valuations seem reasonable, by and large. Nonetheless, something
doesn’t feel quite right. We are probably just concerned about the overhangs
of rising interest rates, rapidly rising energy costs, and inflated housing
prices. We are comfortable with how portfolios are positioned, but don’t
expect large returns from the overall equity markets.
So, given this lukewarm
outlook, how are we positioned? Readers who have followed us for a while are
familiar with our penchant for healthcare and life sciences stocks. It is a sad
reality that we are getting older and breaking down more often. It is a happy
truth that medicine can usually do something to repair us. We invest in
companies that offer cures, remedies, and enabling technologies to help us all
live longer, healthier lives (doing our part to help aggravate the Social
Security crisis).
We have recently been
building positions in Qiagen, a Dutch/German provider of, get this, nucleic
acid purification products. For all the noise about breakthroughs in genetic
research over the last few decades, there have been remarkably few practical
applications for this branch of science. Over the last few years, however,
practical and commercially viable applications of genetic tools have emerged,
spurring a new surge of research not just from academic and NIH funded research
institutions, but from companies that have R&D budgets, such as
pharmaceutical and diagnostic companies. Qiagen has a proprietary position in
the preparation of DNA and RNA samples for research, diagnostic or forensic
applications. We have spoken with several of their customers, and all indicated
that the company’s products are excellent and quite possibly irreplaceable.
After observing the company for several years, we became comfortable with its
valuation and we think we have found a good entry point.
During June, the
announcement of Fresenius Medical Care’s new hemodialysis machine buoyed the
share price. With the new model, the 5008, Fresenius is seeking to address the
future challenges of dialysis therapy. These challenges include the growing
number of patients afflicted with multiple diseases, as well as increasing
demands on treatment quality, despite the staffing and financial constraints of
the health care sector. The 5008 offers the highest treatment quality in the
industry at low cost.
We have also seen selective
opportunities in technology stalwarts that are trading at historically low
valuation measures. Opportunities to buy some of these companies do not present
themselves often, and we will probably add a few in the coming weeks. While we
certainly don’t expect to see the growth of the late 1990’s, we do think
that in some cases the market has become too bearish on their prospects. We
expect solid and possibly accelerating growth, which will translate in good
returns.
On a bitter-sweet note, IMS Health
announced its merger with VNU of Holland. For us, there are several interesting
aspects to this transaction. First, we own VNU in our international portfolios.
We take comfort